How Tweet is That?

So the media is having a lot of fun at AG Shurtleff's Senate Campaign Twitter gaffe. If you haven't heard by now (which would be impossible because the media is just enjoying this too much), our good AG mistakenly sent out a series of tweets announcing he's in the race.

Having been part of a couple of high profile races I know these things are bound to happen. In some cases it's no so much who can out manuver who in a race but who will make the fewest mistakes. So is this really a mistake worth all the attention it's getting? Probably. Will it hurt Shurtleff's campaign? Not a bit.

Here's why:

First of all Shurtleff's plans to run have been anything but secret for some time now. If anything his mistake has been that of dragging out his 'announcement' for as long as he has. Kirk Jowers said it the best in a Desnews Article:

"Shurtleff has postponed this announcement so many times, he's starting to look like Fred Thompson," said Kirk Jowers, head of the University of Utah's Hinckley Institute of Politics. The actor-turned-politician kept putting off getting into the race for the 2008 GOP presidential nomination, and once Thompson did get in the race, he didn't stay long. Jowers said there's a danger of voters losing interest in Shurtleff's candidacy.

I don't see Mark as a Fred Thompson once he's actually in the race. Shurtleff will now (finally) follow-up with his formal announcement and then kick off a series of events and meetings that will start building momentum.

Besides, it's not as if the AG misspelled the word "potato" or is it "potatoe?" like former VP Dan Quayle. As long as the campaign manages to steer clear of additional mishaps the tweet mistake is early enough in the race that no one will remember it. But if the campaign stumbles again it sets a tone that Shurtleff may not be a good manager or leader.

The last reason this doesn't hurt the campaign is the fact that Tim Bridgewater announced his candidacy (intentionally) via Twitter the same day. But who is getting all the attention? SHURTLEFF! Talk about taking the wind out of a guy's sails, the Bridgewater camp was perfectly poised to lead the news and dominate it for a few days. Dropping his bid for State GOP Chair to challenge Bennett? That's a big deal. But is anyone talking about that today? Nope.

Shurtleff is obviously going to be fine. His people (and maybe more specifically Mark himself) are going to need to be more disciplined because they've already shortened their slack in what could turnout to be a very competitive race all around.

Should be a fun one to watch.

Update: Hat tip to Paul Rolly of the Trib for this link to Redline.com (an very conservative blog) regarding a post questioning Shurtleff's conservative credentials. It brings up, Mark's positions on illegal immigration, the BSC, and some questionable fundraising issues. The guy is not even formally in the race and already it's getting vicious! See the post "Is Shurtleff Ready for Prime Time?" here.

Bridgewater to Challenge Bennett

The sharks are definitely starting to circle.

Just when Bennett appeared to have muscled out a potential challenger in Mike Lee (former legal counsel to Gov. Huntsman) another upstart from the Huntsman clan emerges. In a somewhat surprsing (to me at least) move Tim Bridgewater, a former Utah County Republican Party Chair and two time Congressional Candidate in the 2nd District has decided to forgo his bid for the State GOP spot and take on Senator Bennett.

With Mark Shurtleff all but decided to run as well this will be a very interesting mix of candidates. All experienced and capable men (I'm surprised we haven't seen a strong woman step forward for a Federal office in a while - come on ladies step it up!).

I can only suspect that during Tim's travels around the state in his GOP Chair bid folks encouraged him to get into the race. Shurtleff will be a formidable challenger certainly but he's got a record and will have his own set of skeletons to deal with (immigration and polygamy issues come first to mind).

If you are interested in where Tim is on the issues I found an old article from the Deseret News questionnaire they ask all the candidates to fill out - from his Congressional race back in 2004. You can see those responses here.

Pot Calling the Kettle Black...

As a former Congressional staffer I used to hear all the time from various State Legislators how horrible unfunded mandates from the Federal Government were and that the Fed's should just butt out of the State's business. That's all fine and well and I personally couldn't agree more. However, it was with a little guilty glee I have to admit I enjoyed a recent article in the Provo Daily Herald talking about the budget process in Cedar Hills.

You can read the full article "Cedar Hills mocks, challenges Legislature over Red Tape" here. Here are some highlights:

"City councils are burdened by two kinds of legislative nonsense, (Councilman) Perry said -- unfunded mandates, meaning the city is ordered to begin a program but not given money to pay for it; and red-tape in the form of bills that are "just meaningless, silly, or even condescending," Perry said.

"The requirement to adopt a 'preliminary budget' by a specific date is both meaningless and condescending," he said. "It is meaningless because we work on our annual budget over a period of months, usually starting in April."

Adopting the preliminary budget means nothing more than adopting the working draft by motion, "so it accomplishes nothing other than using time from city staff and adding an agenda item, thus taking time from our meeting," Perry said. "This requirement is condescending because it seems state legislators think they need to baby-sit municipal officials and set artificial and meaningless deadlines as if we otherwise wouldn't be working on our budget process."

While there are good state laws, "I would obviously prefer the state Legislature reduce their interference with municipal government, and especially eliminate micromanagement efforts, which offer absolutely no benefit."

Municipal elected officials and city staff "are infinitely more knowledgeable on the issues and workings of the city compared to state legislators, and thus are in a better position to decide how to manage the budget process, and most everything else regarding their city," Perry said. "Eric's motion was putting voice to the frustration we feel when faced with meaningless or counter-productive restrictions from the state."

Yes, even our own Legislature can put folks under its thumb sometimes - because it can.

S(h)ave that Mustache Mayor!

Update: the mustache loses by a hair (1254 shave to 966 save)

If you ever meet Murray Mayor Dan Snarr you won't won't forget him. Well his face at least - uh to be more specific - his mustache. It's a classic waxed at the ends circa 1890's beauty. In a charitable effort to support the Children's Miracle Network the mayor is putting the fate of his famous mustache on the (hair) cutting block. Folks can cast their jelly bean ballots in either 'Shave' or 'Save' jars at the local Costco.

Apparently people aren't big fans of the Mayor's facial hair as the 'shaves' have an early lead (but then I've always been cautious of early exit polls).
After sporting the 'stache for three years he says his wife is sick of "puckering up for a kiss and getting poked in the eye." Can you blame her really?

And, just to prove that there is literally a lobby group for anything and everything in America Snarr is getting pressure to save the pointy facial hair from the St. Louis-based American Mustache Institute who's purpose is to defend a man's right to sport a mustache. Remind me never to eat anything 'crumbly' with these guys.

With sympathies to the Mayor's wife I'm dropping my jelly bean in the SAVE! jar.

You can read the full AP article here.

They're Own Worst Enemy

Despite the media's feigned concern regarding the future of the Republican Party I'm not so sure it's the Republican's who will be in trouble in 2010. I think the opportunity for the GOP will be derived from one thing - Hubris. No no, not on the part of our beloved Grand Old Party but hubris on the side of the Democrats.

Consider the latest YouTube attack video put out by the Democratic National Committee (DNC). It's for lack of a better word - lame (pathetic maybe?). It's a play on the Survivor reality show and ticks off about a dozen high profile Republicans under the guise of "who will survive to be the voice of the GOP"? Not only is the look low budget and shotty but the premise is just petty.

Is this really the best the DNC's got? I mean much past Obama and really what does the Democratic party have to stand on? The D's did not win in 2008 because of their 'principles' or 'ideals.' If the DNC strategists are really honest with themselves they'd come to the conclusion that they won primarily because of George Bush, and a young, talented, charismatic, rockstar of a guy at the head of the ticket - not on the issues.

Consider the following (Stats from CNN)

Obama wins the Electoral College in a landside: 365 to 173

...but the popular vote isn't as convincing:

Obama: 69,492,376 (53%)

McCain: 59,946,378 (46%)

Electoral College math aside, a swing of less than 5 million votes and the GOP has the hearts and mind of the people. That's not an insurmountable gap by any means.

My Takeaway:

In 2010 Bush will no longer be a factor and Obama will not be on the ticket. The Republican's will find a voice. It could be any one of those featured in the video, or a combination, or someone yet to emerge. The DNC is currently acting glib, cocky, and arrogant. Firing negative and petty shots at the GOP will get old in a hurry. Just like the hubris that was the thinking behind the Titanic, left unchecked this sort of attitude is going to catch up with the Left sooner rather than later...If the Democrats don't focus on their own message the Republicans will make significant mid-term gains.

Keynesian Theory Explained

This post is a bit 'wonkish' so proceed at your own risk.
Recently, at this year's Utah County convention Senator Bob Bennet made the observation that President Ronald Reagan was so bold and innovative in his approach to economics (Reagan had a degree in Econ) because he had studied pre-Keynes. Keynesian theory of spend your way out of recessions had not yet flooded American campuses during Reagan's college years. Keynes book, The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money was first published in 1936.

It was an interesting observation.

The Utah Foundation recently published a policy brief on Keynesian theory in regards to the Keynesian response or explanation to what caused the current crisis and how Keynesian's suggest we get ourselves out of this mess. I like the Foundation's material and apparently they plan a series of similar briefs each focusing on a different economic theory to explain the current situation and how each theory would solve the crisis.

Here are the highlights on Keynes:

Causes of Current Recession

Paul Krugman, an advocate of Keynesian policy, indentifies the 2007 fall in China’s stock market, and the subsequent 416-point slide in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, as the events which started the decline in investment ultimately leading to the current recession. Investors were shaken by the 2007 drop and began to panic over the number of risky mortgage-loan defaults that emerged with the collapse of the housing boom.


Keynesian solutions to current recession

As the recession continues to worsen, Krugman believes government spending is the only tool left available to stimulate the economy. Both consumer and investment confidence are down, the global effects of the economic downturn have lowered net exports, and monetary policy is not an option because interest rates are essentially already at 0%. This leaves government spending, which largely came in the form of the 2009 stimulus package.


I think its clear where President Obama's thinking comes from. It's early in the recovery(?) but it does appear things are improving. I think the jury is definitely still out as to whether this approach will work or not. But one thing is for sure - the price tag is beyond enormous. This is unchartered territory folks...

They don't call it 'World' Cup for nuth'n...

Soccer moms - don't let your babies grow up to be...soccer players.

Former GOP Congressman, Quarterback, and Presidential Candidate Jack Kemp died over the weekend after a months long battle with cancer.

The former football star was once quoted on the House Floor as saying:

"I think it is important for all those young out there — who someday hope to play real football, where you throw it and kick it and run with it and put it in your hands — [that] a distinction should be made that football is democratic capitalism, whereas soccer is a European socialist sport."

Thank you for your hard work and service Jack. Godspeed.

You can Give a Man a Fish or...

As the three of you who occasionally read this blog may already know I work for a company called Franchise Foundry. Basically, what we do is take small and often young companies with a few units and help them grow using the franchise model. It's a lot of fun and I've really enjoyed working with our team there.

I recently received an email from a company that uses the franchising model to build small community clinics in Africa. The clinics are called "Child and Family Wellness Shops" or "CFWShops" for short. The clinics are primarily funded by The HealthStore Foundation.

For a franchise fee of $500 the would-be entrepreneur purchases a franchise. The remaining $6,000 required to build and supply the clinic is financed at nominal rates and in some cases grants through the Foundation. This $500 is a considerable investment; as the HealthStore Foundation mentions on its website this is usually a combination of life savings and a sale of the family's livestock. The training is completely paid for by the Foundation as well as the franchisee's living and boarding costs while they learn how to run their new clinic.

The reason I find this so exciting is that it's the perfect example of self reliance - a classic conservative principle. The HealthStore Foundation is not giving these people a clinic. They are teaching them how to own and operate one on their own. The administrators are not (well meaning) bureaucrats but truly owners in the clinic with a very real and personally significant interest in it's success.

The time old adage still applies: you can give a man a fish - or you can teach that same man to fish. The clinic franchise model is innovative and clearly demonstrates that conservative principles can be effectively applied to problems which often the progressive side claims we ignore. It's time for conservatives to reclaim these issues.

Air Quality: Utah Gets an 'F'

American Lung Association Report: Utah cities among the nation's worst for air quality

I wanted to follow-up on my earlier convention post. If you remember I had asked Representative Keith Grover if there was anything we could do about the air quality in Utah County during the winter months. He said that because of our geography really the only thing we could do is to move.

I've really never been someone who's been really concerned on environmental issues. And I'm not talking about climate change and polar ice caps, but this one hits pretty close to home. Truth be told Republicans have differed to the Democrats on the environment for too long. I think conservatives should and must engage the other side on issues like this (see also ethics reform).

So, not being satisfied with being told "to move," I promised to dig a little deeper. I didn't have to look very hard - it's almost like the information came to me(!). In today's SLTrib there is a story about a report from the American Lung Association on the very topic.

And the report says....

Utah County

Particle Pollution: F

High Ozone: F

The Wasatch Front really gets pounded by pollution in the winter during short but intense periods of inversion. So during these times our area suffers from some of the worst air in the country.

Of the top 25 U.S. cities most polluted by short-term particle pollution three are in Utah.

1. Pittsburgh, PA

4. Los Angeles, CA

6. Salt Lake City, UT

8. Logan, UT

16. New York, NY

20. (tie) Philadelphia, PA/San Francisco, CA

22. Provo-Orem, UT

So What can be done? Again, I didn't have to look very far. I took a look at a local activist group - Utah Mom's for Clean Air. They had a lot of common sense suggestions - most of them centered around driving.

Now despite the communist conspiracy that is 'light rail' I think that will help make a difference when it is completed. I'd gladly trade my car and a dangerous drive on an icy road during winter for the safety of light rail. It'd be a safer commute and a healthier one.

In the end, I think it really comes down to personal responsiblity and each of us being aware and doing our part during those smoggy winter days.

Convention Summary

You can see the Deseret News summary of the Convention here. If you are interested in the specific results for the county leadership positions you can find them here.

I'm going to keep it simple and just focus my thoughts and takeaways from our breakout meetings with State Senator Margaret Dayton and Representative Keith Grover.

Senate District Meeting

We met with Senator Margaret Dayton for about 45 minutes. I like Margaret but, I thought she did a couple of interesting things. First off she started by writing the toll-free subscription number to the NRA magazine. I'm all for the 2nd Amendment, but I would have prefered her to simply recomment the publication as one she enjoys rather than actually providing the number.

Second interesting announcement; surprisingly she thanked everyone who had encouraged her to run for the US Senate, but announced that she would be running for the State Senate and not the US Senate. Of course she was flattered, but no, just the boring old Utah State Senate. I wish her well in her re-election bid. Rumor is that Greg Hudnall is considering a challenge run, which would make for an interesting race. I'll keep my ear to the ground on this one...

Sen. Dayton did say she hadn't talked to Rep. Fowlke beforehand, but she proceeded to invite Rep. Lorie Fowlke up to the front so we as delegates could get an opposing view from two Republicans on the rivers/private property issue. Maybe it's not a big deal nor her intention, but it seemed like she was trying to put Lorie on the spot a bit. I don't want to get into the rivers issue here, but truth be told, I thought Rep. Fowlke came off well. She was well spoken and her reasoning logical.

My takeaway: Margaret approaches issues ideologically, someone like Lorie approaches them pragmatically. I think both are healthy and needed not only in the Republican Party but government in general. I enjoyed hearing the two perspectives and I'm glad Margaret did what she did (just give a gal a head's-up first next time!).

During our Senate breakout session Lt. Governor Gary Herbert took a few minutes for an update. He was well spoken and took on the issues straightforwardly. The interesting takeaway was to see him distancing himself a bit from Governor Huntsman on issues like civil unions and global warming. Gary was clearly setting himself up for a run at the Gov's spot in 2012. I think he's got a good shot. He was in good form on Saturday.


Legislative District Meeting
Next up was our meeting with Representative Keith Grover. I'll start with my takeaway from this meeting: Keith is definitely coming into his own. It was the most confident I've ever seen him speak in front of a group of delegates.

He mentioned a couple of times how much he really feels he's bound to be responsive to us as delegates and thinks about us when he votes. I believe he does. Keith reviewed a couple of the high profile issues from the last session; One being ethics. Keith said that he feels the ethics issue is addressed every two years when the people vote and that was good enough. I understand what he means, but I think most people (and the delegates sitting around me) feel that more could be done. It probably deserves a separate blog post in the future so I'll leave it there for now.

One delegate from Vineyard asked about the Anderson development end-run around Vineyard to get the County to do an RDA. I blogged about that issue last week. You can read that post here. Keith expressed concern about how important the project is but didn't have much more to add to the previous comments, which included pretty much the same concerns I brought up in my post. It's an important issue for our area.

Since education wasn't a real big issue with the session Keith didn't bring it up in his summary. The question did come up though. There was some discussion from the delegates expressing desire to see more movement towards choice in education and charter school expansion. Also, autism legislation was discussed.

During the winter months we have some of the worst air in the country. So I asked Keith if there was anything that could be done to improve our air quality in Utah County. Keith said he had asked some officials about it and really given our geography the only thing that could be done - was to move. I was kind of surprised that that was the response. Because really, there are things we can all do, but how much of a difference would it make? I'm not really sure. I'm not satisfied with the moving option so I'm going to do some additional research - stay tuned! But in the meantime check out this press release regarding a BYU-Harvard study on the topic here.

My Major Takeaway: I thought there was a lot of chest thumping with each official and candidate trying to out-conservative each other. Which is fine I suppose at an off-year convention. Being conservative is who we are - we all get that. But, I'm a bit concerned that the Party is missing a lot of opportunities for greater discussion on a number of issues people face every day - I-15, Geneva Development, Economic Development, Ethics reform, Education, Environment (just to name a few). Is our Party really in touch with the issues most important to most Utahns?